HopWRF-ARW Ensemble Model Output

Four Nested 20 km -> 4.0 km Domain Runs to 18-hours Every 3 Hours
A Collaboration between Tom Hultquist (student at U of MN) and John Wetter of Hopkins Public Schools
special thanks to Bryan Mroczka for critical assistance in developing the images

Individual Member Products (0-18 hrs)
Member #1
latest run: 21Z - 07/18/2019
Member #2
latest run: 21Z - 07/18/2019
Member #3
latest run: 21Z - 07/18/2019
Member #4
latest run: 21Z - 07/18/2019
Ensemble Products
Postage Stamps
latest run: 21Z - 07/18/2019
Ensemble Means
latest run: 21Z - 07/18/2019
Spaghetti Plots
latest run: 21Z - 07/18/2019
Probability Plots
latest run: 21Z - 07/18/2019
Neighborhood Probability Plots
latest run: 06Z - 05/21/2019
Plumes (point-specific Plots
latest run: 21Z - 07/18/2019
Click here for details on individual member configuration. Information on derived ensemble products are available from the respective product pages linked above.
MPAS-3km Output
North Central US
latest run: 12Z - 07/18/2019

00Z and 12Z runs from 0 to 36 hours, limited area simulations (derived from global 3 km Voronoi mesh). Details on the MPAS modeling system can be found at https://mpas-dev.github.io/
NOAA/NWS Global Ensemble Forecast System (GEFS) Plots
CONUS | North Central US | Mid-Atlantic US
latest run: 18Z - 07/18/2019

6-Hourly output to 240 hours runs every 6 hours)
48 Hour Forecast Covering Period from 42 to 90 Hours
Climate Forecast System Ensemble Output
weeks 3-6 guidance updated every 6 hours
(also daily mean max/min temperatures thru 90 days)
4 km North Central US Nest
latest run: 12Z - 06/05/2019
Covers period from 00Z 06/07/2019 through 00Z 06/10/2019
CFS Northern Hemisphere and U.S. Output
latest run: 12 UTC 18 July 2019
DISCLAIMER: The mesoscale prognostics depicted on these pages may not be  available at all times. The accuracy or reliability of the data is not guaranteed nor warranted in any way. The data is provided as is and should not be used as the sole resource for decision making. Mesoscale forecast guidance is best interpreted by a professional meteorologist who is familiar with the particular modeling system, including any model biases. 
Please contact Tom Hultquist with questions and/or concerns about this page or the model information it is displaying.