HopWRF-ARW Ensemble Model Output
Four Nested 20 km -> 4.0 km Domain Runs to 18-hours Every 3 Hours
A Collaboration between Tom Hultquist (student at U of MN) and John Wetter of Hopkins Public Schools
special thanks to Bryan Mroczka for critical assistance in developing the images

Individual Member Products (0-18 hrs)
Member #1
latest run: 00Z - 06/01/2023
Member #2
latest run: 00Z - 06/01/2023
Member #3
latest run: 00Z - 06/01/2023
Member #4
latest run: 00Z - 06/01/2023
Ensemble Products
Postage Stamps
latest run: 00Z - 06/01/2023
Ensemble Means
latest run: 00Z - 06/01/2023
Spaghetti Plots
latest run: 00Z - 06/01/2023
Probability Plots
latest run: 00Z - 06/01/2023
Neighborhood Probability Plots
latest run: 00Z - 06/01/2023
Plumes (point-specific Plots
latest run: 00Z - 06/01/2023
Additional Model Output
  MPAS and HopAheadWRF-ARW runs are locally maintained and produced. GEFS and CFS images utilize output from NOAA/NWS.
MPAS-3 km Output
North Central US
latest run: 12Z - 03/06/2023

00Z and 12Z runs from 0 to 36 hours, Upper Midwest domain (derived from global 3 km Voronoi mesh)
MPAS-30 km Output
CONUS | North Central US | Northeast US | Ohio Valley | Southeast US | Caribbean
latest run: 06Z - 03/03/2023

06Z run from 0 to 96 hours, North America domain (derived from global 30 km Voronoi mesh)
NOAA/NWS Global Ensemble Forecast System (GEFS) Plots
CONUS | Northwest | North Central | Northeast | West Central | Central | East Central | Southwest | South Central | Southeast
latest run: 18Z - 05/31/2023

6-Hourly output to 240 hours every 6 hours
4 km North Central US Nest
latest run: 00Z - 03/03/2023
Covers period from 12Z 03/04/2023 through 12Z 03/07/2023
00Z 72 Hour run covering period from 36 to 108 hours
Climate Forecast System Ensemble Output
CFS Northern Hemisphere and U.S. Output
latest run: 18 UTC 15 August 2022

weeks 3-6 guidance updated every 6 hours
(also daily mean max/min temperatures thru 90 days)

Research Simulations
  Miscellaneous output from various research model simulations conducted by the HopWRF project to support user requests. Let us know if there is an event you are interested in seeing simulated.

DISCLAIMER: The mesoscale prognostics depicted on these pages may not be  available at all times. The accuracy or reliability of the data is not guaranteed nor warranted in any way. The data is provided as is and should not be used as the sole resource for decision making. Mesoscale forecast guidance is best interpreted by a professional meteorologist who is familiar with the particular modeling system, including any model biases. 
Please contact Tom Hultquist with questions and/or concerns about this page or the model information it is displaying.